Sharia-compliant ETFs are designed to meet the ethical and financial principles of Islamic law (Sharia), making them suitable for Muslim investors. These ETFs follow specific guidelines, such as avoiding investments in businesses related to alcohol, gambling, pork, and interest-based financial services. Instead, they focus on sectors and companies that align with Islamic principles.
When you’re just starting out as an investor, the world of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds can feel overwhelming. For many new investors, the idea of picking individual stocks or constantly monitoring the market seems daunting. This is where Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) come in—a simple, effective way to invest in a wide range of assets without the complexity.
When people think of making money in the stock market, they often imagine two things: quick, high returns and big risks. This thinking confuses two very different approaches to building wealth: investing and speculation. While both can be profitable, they carry distinct risks, goals, and strategies. Understanding these differences is key to making smart financial decisions, especially for people looking to grow their money steadily and securely over time.
The Surge in the AI Sector: Why NVIDIA is Leading the Charge In recent years, the technology sector has witnessed tremendous growth, with one particular area standing out as a game-changer: Artificial Intelligence (AI). AI, once a futuristic concept, is now a driving force behind innovations across industries. From self-driving cars and healthcare diagnostics to smart home devices and financial algorithms, AI is transforming how we live and work. The recent surge in AI development has sparked excitement among investors, and one company has emerged as a leader in this space: NVIDIA. In this article, we’ll explore why the AI sector is booming, NVIDIA’s critical role in this growth, and what it means for investors and the future of technology. Why AI is Experiencing a Boom AI’s rapid rise can be attributed to several factors converging at the right time: 1. Increased Computing Power: AI requires vast computational resources to process data, run algorithms, and learn from patterns. Advances in hardware, especially GPUs (Graphics Processing Units), have made it possible to handle the immense processing needs of AI systems. As these technologies evolve, they allow AI models to become more sophisticated and effective. 2. Big Data Availability: AI systems thrive on data. With the explosion of data from smartphones, social media, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT), there’s more information than ever for AI algorithms to analyze and learn from. This data drives improvements in everything from recommendation engines to predictive analytics. 3. Enterprise and Consumer Demand: Companies across all sectors are seeking ways to leverage AI to improve efficiency, enhance customer experiences, and innovate in their products. AI’s ability to automate processes, make sense of large datasets, and provide insights is creating demand in industries like healthcare, finance, manufacturing, and beyond. 4. Breakthroughs in Machine Learning: Advances in machine learning (ML) and deep learning—subfields of AI—are allowing machines to perform tasks that once seemed impossible, like understanding human speech, recognizing images, and even generating creative content. These breakthroughs are pushing the boundaries of what AI can achieve. Why NVIDIA is Leading the AI Revolution As AI grows, NVIDIA has positioned itself as a dominant force in this rapidly expanding sector. Originally known for its role in the gaming industry, NVIDIA’s Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) have become the backbone of AI computing. But why has NVIDIA emerged as such a key player? 1. GPUs are Essential for AI: While traditional processors (CPUs) handle general computing tasks, GPUs are designed for parallel processing—meaning they can handle multiple tasks simultaneously. This capability is critical for AI and machine learning, where vast amounts of data need to be processed at once. NVIDIA’s GPUs are considered the gold standard in AI research and development, powering everything from self-driving cars to natural language processing models. 2. NVIDIA’s CUDA Platform: Beyond hardware, NVIDIA’s CUDA (Compute Unified Device Architecture) platform has become a vital tool for developers and researchers working on AI and machine learning. CUDA enables software to leverage the full power of NVIDIA’s GPUs, making it easier for developers to build and scale AI applications. This integration of hardware and software has helped NVIDIA carve out a unique and dominant position in the AI ecosystem. 3. Data Center Expansion: While NVIDIA started in the gaming space, the company has rapidly expanded into data centers, which are critical for AI processing. NVIDIA’s A100 and H100 GPUs are now widely used in data centers around the world, powering AI applications for major tech companies and research institutions. These high-performance GPUs are designed to handle AI workloads with efficiency, making NVIDIA the go-to provider for AI infrastructure. 4. Partnerships and Acquisitions: NVIDIA has strategically invested in AI-related partnerships and acquisitions. Its acquisition of Mellanox Technologies (for data center connectivity) and Arm Holdings (for chip design) has expanded its influence in the AI hardware space. By creating an ecosystem that supports AI development from chip design to cloud infrastructure, NVIDIA has secured its place as a key player in the AI surge. What’s Driving NVIDIA’s Recent Surge? NVIDIA’s recent stock surge is directly tied to the explosion of interest in AI. Several key developments have contributed to this rise: - AI Adoption Across Industries: NVIDIA’s GPUs are essential for AI, and as companies in healthcare, finance, automotive, and other sectors integrate AI into their operations, NVIDIA’s hardware is in high demand. The company’s products power the AI systems used in self-driving cars, predictive analytics, and personalized recommendation engines, to name a few. - The AI Arms Race: With AI becoming a competitive advantage, businesses are investing heavily in AI infrastructure to stay ahead. Tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft are pouring billions into AI research and development, and they rely on NVIDIA’s GPUs to build their AI systems. This “AI arms race” is fueling growth in the demand for NVIDIA’s products. - ChatGPT and Generative AI: The emergence of Generative AI technologies, like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, has driven further interest in AI. These AI models require massive computational resources to operate, and NVIDIA’s GPUs are the industry standard for training and running these large-scale models. As AI continues to advance, NVIDIA’s role in powering these systems solidifies its dominance. - Strong Financial Performance: NVIDIA’s impressive earnings reports have validated its growth story. The company has posted record revenue, driven by AI-related demand, and continues to show strong financial results in key sectors like data centers and gaming. Investors see NVIDIA as a leader in AI, and its stock performance reflects this confidence. What Does the Future Hold for AI and NVIDIA? The surge in AI is not a short-lived trend. AI is expected to continue transforming industries, and NVIDIA’s position as a leader in the field means it will likely benefit from this growth for years to come. - Expanding AI Use Cases: AI will continue to find new applications in areas like healthcare, robotics, and autonomous vehicles. NVIDIA is well-positioned to provide the hardware and software solutions necessary for these innovations. - Growth in AI Cloud Services: As more companies shift to cloud-based AI solutions, NVIDIA’s products will be essential in powering these services. Partnerships with cloud providers like Amazon AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure further solidify NVIDIA’s influence in this space. - Innovations in AI Hardware: As AI models become more advanced, the demand for cutting-edge hardware will grow. NVIDIA’s continued investment in R&D ensures it remains at the forefront of AI technology, driving innovation in GPUs and other AI infrastructure. Conclusion The surge in the AI sector is one of the most exciting developments in the technology world, and NVIDIA is at the center of this transformation. With its powerful GPUs, software platforms, and strategic investments, NVIDIA has become the go-to company for AI computing. As AI continues to reshape industries and drive innovation, NVIDIA is positioned to be a key player in the future of technology, making it a stock to watch for investors and a company leading the charge in AI’s next frontier.
One of the key advantages of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is their tax efficiency, which can help investors keep more of their returns. Here's why ETFs are more tax-efficient compared to other investment vehicles like mutual funds
ETFs offer a simple and cost-effective way to gain exposure to global markets, allowing you to invest in companies and economies worldwide with just a few trades. Here's how: Broad Global ETFs: ETFs like VT (Vanguard Total World Stock ETF) provide exposure to thousands of companies across both developed and emerging markets, giving you instant diversification without needing to pick individual stocks from multiple countries. Regional and Country-Specific ETFs: If you want more targeted exposure, there are ETFs that focus on specific regions or countries. For example, EFA (iShares MSCI EAFE ETF) focuses on developed markets outside North America, while FXI (iShares China Large-Cap ETF) gives access to leading Chinese companies. Emerging Market ETFs: For those looking to invest in fast-growing economies, ETFs like VWO (Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF) provide exposure to countries such as China, India, and Brazil, where rapid economic development offers significant growth potential.
Economic indicators signal mixed trends: strong short-term momentum with stock gains and consumer stability, despite headwinds. Click for the full update.
Despite all the bigly talk about tariffs, theyâve turned out to be teeny tiny tariffs so far. Read more here.
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast has Q3 growth up around 2.4%, a notable acceleration from the first half.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets again on July 29-30 & the consensus expectation is that Committee will once again hold target Fed funds rate at current range of 4-4.25%.
Q2 â25 earnings started this week, and all the large-cap financials' numbers slid.
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was up 1.8% (1.1 points) to 61.8 this month.
Markets had a strong run in the past few months, but are there still pockets of value? David Sekera discusses why he is looking closely at the energy, health care and small-cap sectors.
Discover how the AI revolution fuels stock market highs, drives Big Tech growth, and its profound economic impacts. Click for more on this critical topic.
Rising inflation expectations, fueled by commodities and CPI swaps, signal higher interest rates and risks to markets. Click for my complete market outlook.
Earnings hit record highs on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq amid a resilient U.S. economy. Explore Fed policy, economic growth, and the impact on markets.
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF offers lowest expense ratio, strong long-term returns, & excellent liquidity for retail investors. See why I initiated buy rating on SPLG.
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF stands out as a compelling hedge, offering a 3.8% dividend yield and strong historical dividend growth. Read my analysis of SCHD.
Economic data remains strong with low unemployment claims and rising industrial production, supporting continued stock market strength. Read what investors need to know.
The governmentâs Q2 GDP report scheduled for later this month is still on track to post a moderate recovery in output.
Trump is unlikely to further delay tariffs; significantly higher tariffs will be imposed on August 1st. Read why investors should brace for a major shock this fall.
The US dollar is trading softer against most G10 and emerging market currencies today. Click to read.
Investors enjoyed broad gains across major asset classes in the first half of this year, but they endured considerable market swings to earn those returns.
Retail sales rose by 0.64% in June from May, to $720 billion, seasonally adjusted, after having fallen month-to-month in May and April, and after having spiked in March by 1.5%.
As of mid-June, a slight majority of firms see a relatively quick end to trade policy uncertainty, but a large cohort expect the fog of uncertainty to persist awhile.
Having passed the midpoint of the year, several of our key economic predictions for 2025 are on track, including weaker US economic conditions.
Markets made new highs Thursday, further embarrassing the recession forecasters still yelling âFire!â in a theater now selling standing-room tickets.
The U.S. banking system is healthy, providing a strong foundation for the overall economy amid current uncertainties. Read what investors need to know.
US June retail sales jumped 0.6% MoM, showing strong demand despite tariffs.
Trump's tariffs risk inflation and recession, straining markets and growth. Read about how I recommend investing while navigating this uncertainty.
Discover SPUS, a Shariah-compliant ETF with 200+ S&P 500 stocks.
Prepare for the 'year of tariffs' in 2025. Learn how escalating trade barriers and negotiations could impact markets and your investment strategies.
In a volatile year for stocks, as tariffs and other factors roil expectations and keep investors on edge, industrial stocks are the market darlings since the April rebound.
June inflation hit 2.7% as tariffs bite. See why excess liquidity, new Fed pressure, and policy risks could fuel more inflation in the coming months.
The Fed's independence is key for dollar stability; Firing Powell and tariff-driven policies could impact inflation, interest rates, and markets. Read what investors need to know.
Markets may be mispricing tariff risks. Find out why record customs revenue, low volatility, and past patterns make a retreat less likely this time.
Volatility often evokes emotional responses from investors. So how can investors combat the natural impulse to sell in turbulent markets? Read more here...
Explore why Fed independence is crucial for market stability, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the risks of undermining Federal Reserve credibility. Read what investors need to know.
Current tariff collections equate to 0.1% monthly inflation, aligning with recent CPI data. See why Iâm skeptical that tariffs will lead to widespread inflation.
The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the US projects economic output in the recently finished Q2 2025 will be around $30.5 trillion.
Stocks continue to rally with the S&P 500 up about 26% from its April 8 trough, when equities initially declined on the White House announcement placing higher tariffs.
Inflation is moving higher and the impact of tariffs are only beginning to show up in government data, likely keeping interest rates on hold.
June CPI and PPI figures were released this week, and the buzz centers around whether Trump's tariffs have boosted inflation. Click to read.
US stock market rises amid caution over extreme greed & inflation.
S&P 500 stalls at 6300 resistance amid market worries over inflation and tariffs. Explore potential risks and what this means for investors.
The Fed's structure and upcoming appointments make a dovish policy shift likely. What will happen if Trump gets his 300bps rate cut? Read which stocks I recommend.
Q2 saw a greater role for Fixed Income, Alternatives, International and Emerging Markets. There were more diversification opportunities and impact of currency decisions. Read more here...
Explore June's rising CPI inflation, the Fed's likely rate stance, and market opportunities in non-cyclicals and high-margin sectors amidst inflation pressures.
Emerging market currencies are softer except for central Europe, the Chinese yuan, and the Mexican peso. Click to read.
The outlook for the S&P 500's dividends in the current and remaining quarters of 2025 improved in the month since we presented our previous snapshot of their future.
June CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales hit this week, offering key macro information for investors and policymakers
Stocks tiptoed toward fresh highs, then got cold feet. A glimmer of hope from Nvidiaâs China chip sales briefly lit the room, but cooler-than-hoped inflation doused the mood.
The June CPI report came in as expected, bringing the annual headline increase to 2.7%, a tick-up from last monthâs 2.4% reading.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3 percent last month and 2.7 percent over the past year.
According to the latest price inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the consumer price index rose 2.7 percent year over year, and 0.3 percent month over month.
Discover the impact of looming tariff risks on global trade and the psychology driving the Trump TACO Trade and how partners may react. Read what investors need to know.
Discover 4 effective strategies to manage risk in QQQ as it climbs 30% in 3 months. Read more on the elevated risk in QQQ and by association, the broad stock market.
Explore how a dovish Fed, rising inflation, and strengthening dollar impact markets. Learn why long-end yields climb despite potential rate cuts.
Inflation rises to 2.7% amid tariff pressures, reversing disinflation trends.
Explore why current equity valuations may be unsustainable amidst AI-driven optimism, global economic concerns, and new tariffs. Click for more.
June CPI data shows headline and core inflation in line with expectations. Check out my thoughts on financial markets' reaction to CPI data.
It appears that itâs a particularly good time to take a contrary view of the intermediate period of the US stock market. Read more here...
Core inflation eases, but rising headline CPI and energy costs keep inflation concerns alive. Click for our full review of the latest data and its implications.
Learn how major tariff hikes on imports from Mexico & the EU risk driving inflation and slowing growth.
June inflation slowed, the core rate below forecasts. Stocks and bonds saw modest rallies. Click here for a full breakdown of the June report.
Saba Capital Closed-End Funds ETF (CEFS) is a fund of closed-end funds paying a monthly distribution with special dividend in December.
Despite worries about tariff-related inflation, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade in a range. Read more here.
Discover how tracking institutional 'smart money' moves and COT data reveals key market signals on crude oil oversupply and diverse S&P 500 trading strategies.
USD is trading somewhat heavier against G10 currencies ahead of the CPI report. The last few readings were softer than expected, but economists continue to look for firmer price pressures.
The market capitalization of the S&P 500 rose almost 6.3% during the second quarter of 2025.
U.S. tariffs may drive more dispersion in market and security returns, creating yet more opportunity to earn alpha. We stay risk on and overweight U.S. equities. Read more here...
Seven of the S&P 500's 11 sectors are set to post cumulative second quarter earnings declines, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
Implied volatilities fell across asset classes last week despite renewed trade headlines as investors largely shrugged off the new tariff threats.
The situation today suggests that the dollar is trading on the weak side of where it would normally be given the current level of real yields.
Los Angeles, USA, July 14th, 2025, Chainwire
Markets shrug off U.S. tariffs, with focus on Treasury yields, the dollar, and economic data like CPI.
S&P 500 shows strength with 62% above 200-day average. Nvidia hits $4T, interest rate cuts expected, and 13.3% upside forecast to 7,035.
Fed Governor Waller discusses balance sheet challenges, QT into 2029, and risks to Fed independence. Read the implications for markets if Powell leaves the Fed.
The government fiscal year closes at the end of September, but this analysis will look at the calendar year budget.
What is the Cboe Volatility Index, and why does it matter to traders?
The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.3% and the actively tr
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major indexes traded lower Monday after President Donald Trump announced 30% tariffs on the European Union and Mexico. Meanwhile, Tesla was an early winner on the stock market today.
Explore market impacts of U.S.-China tariffs, investment strategies amid potential declines, and the global trade shifts shaping the global economy.
Discover how investor activity indicators like ProShare fund flow data offer powerful insights into market sentiment.
A single decision has been crucial for a global equities strategy this year: selecting the weights for foreign vs. US stocks.
Earnings season is upon us again. And analysts think they know where the greatest growth in the S&P 500 will come from.
Explore the impact of harsh tariffs set for Aug 1 on global markets, economies, and trade relations.
Taking a look at several of last weekâs notable events that the media and analysts described as increasing uncertainty, and differentiate uncertainty from confusion. Read more here...
Earnings season & economic resilience may drive the market despite risks. Explore key insights on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and tech stocks.
S&P 500 gains mask real value declines; USD weakens amid aggressive tariffs and debt concerns. Click here for more information on Market Outlook.
Style Box ETF report for ONEV
Style Box ETF report for GSEW
The clarity and support provided by the One Big Beautiful Bill represent a decisive step forward for the business community.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF currently offers a 30-day SEC yield of 4.85%, and it has an effective duration of 15.66 years. Check out my analysis of TLT.
The S&P 500 ended the trading week at 6,259.75, down 0.31% from the previous week's close.
For most investors, I recommend avoiding individual stock picking. Check out my recommendation for beginners and seasoned investors with SPY and VTI.
The department is issuing billions of short-term debt. Wall Street is watching to see if it trips up the funding market.
Global trade tensions, driven by new tariffs, are creating volatility and unpredictability for investors. Explore the factors impacting market performance.
IGD offers a high 10.4% yield, outperforming most equity funds and indices. Learn more about IGD CEF here and my recommendation.
Stocks are priced for earnings to exceed already ambitious forecasts. Read why I strongly advise against aggressive buying at current highs.
Discover why DIVO may make more sense than SCHD for many investors, as well as when it does not make sense.
June 2025 fiscal flows signal short-term caution and likely SPX declines in July, but liquidity unlocks and Fed rate cuts hint at a strong year-end market.
Long-term Treasury yields may surge as inflation risks rise and technicals strengthen, setting up a bear steepening. See why a breakout could be near.
A fund such as SPDR S&P 500 ETF can be a good default investing option for all types of investors. When you think about investing for the long term and creating a portfolio worth over $1 million, you may think it's too difficult to do or that it might require a lot of money. If you have 34 investing years to go before you retire, it's possible to create a portfolio worth $1 million by saving just $10 per day and without having to take on significant risks along the way.
ETFs that have tracked the S&P 500 have always been popular. The largest and most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are those that track the performance of the S&P 500. In fact, the three largest ETFs as measured by assets under management are all ones that mimic the performance of this benchmark index. As of July 9, the S&P 500's top three holdings of Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple made up over 20% of its holdings, while its top 10 holdings represented 38% of the index.
Fear of missing out may be causing most U.S. investors to overlook their best opportunity right now.
The S&P 500 closed the week in positive territory, marking another strong performance near record highs. Read more here.
CAOS implements three options strategies to provide exposure to stocks and interest rates while expecting to benefit from a market crash. Read more on CAOS here.
SCD seeks total returns with a focus on income, investing globally in companies with strong fundamentals and clear market advantages. Read more on SCD here.
Catch up on the top industries and stocks that were impacted, or were predicted to be impacted, by the comments, actions and policies of President Donald Trump with this daily recap compiled by The Fly: TARIFFS ON CANADA: President Donald Trump stated in a post to Truth Social, “Instead of working with the United States, Canada retaliated with its own tariffs. Starting August 1, we will charge Canada a tariff of 35% on Canadian products sent into the United States, separate from all Sectoral Tar
Discover BGY: A fund offering 90% international exposure, value sector focus, ~8.8% yield, and an 8% NAV discount.
S&P 500 valuations hit bubble-like levels amid 'Extreme Greed' sentiment. Discover risks from US-China tariffs & potential market corrections.
Read here for key economic risks from tariffs and slowing population growth, renewables' resilience, and top REIT picks for defensive growth.
The US economy stays resilient with improving indicators, strong stocks, and continued expansion. Click for more on key trends shaping growth and what lies ahead.
Rising tariffs could impact markets and learn top investment strategies and picks to maximize returns. Click here for more on Market Outlook.
June CPI data hints at rising inflation, with core CPI expected at 3%. See how tariffs, stagflation, and market trends impact the economy.
S&P 500 Index closed at a new all-time high of 6,204.95 on June 30, 2025, prompting a familiar question among both retail investors and professional advisors: is the market now overvalued?
Simplify Hedged Equity ETF is a hedged equity ETF offering S&P 500 exposure, reduced downside risk, and strong risk-adjusted returns. See more on HEQT here.
In a couple of weeks we will get the first reading for third quarter GDP growth, and the current consensus among economists is for growth to be right around the same two percent.
The S&P 500 closed Thursday trading at an all-time high, with the ten-year Treasury yields gaining six bps this week, to a four-week high of 4.41%.
Markets may face turbulence as Trump pushes US re-industrialization, with bubble-like S&P500 valuations signaling a potential selloff ahead. See more here.
Tariffs can be inflationary if they reduce real economic output, but the size of the effect matters. Read more here.
Economic indicators signal mixed trends: strong short-term momentum with stock gains and consumer stability, despite headwinds. Click for the full update.
Despite all the bigly talk about tariffs, theyâve turned out to be teeny tiny tariffs so far. Read more here.
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast has Q3 growth up around 2.4%, a notable acceleration from the first half.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets again on July 29-30 & the consensus expectation is that Committee will once again hold target Fed funds rate at current range of 4-4.25%.
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was up 1.8% (1.1 points) to 61.8 this month.
Markets had a strong run in the past few months, but are there still pockets of value? David Sekera discusses why he is looking closely at the energy, health care and small-cap sectors.
Discover how the AI revolution fuels stock market highs, drives Big Tech growth, and its profound economic impacts. Click for more on this critical topic.
Rising inflation expectations, fueled by commodities and CPI swaps, signal higher interest rates and risks to markets. Click for my complete market outlook.
Earnings hit record highs on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq amid a resilient U.S. economy. Explore Fed policy, economic growth, and the impact on markets.
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF offers lowest expense ratio, strong long-term returns, & excellent liquidity for retail investors. See why I initiated buy rating on SPLG.
Economic data remains strong with low unemployment claims and rising industrial production, supporting continued stock market strength. Read what investors need to know.
The governmentâs Q2 GDP report scheduled for later this month is still on track to post a moderate recovery in output.
Trump is unlikely to further delay tariffs; significantly higher tariffs will be imposed on August 1st. Read why investors should brace for a major shock this fall.
Investors enjoyed broad gains across major asset classes in the first half of this year, but they endured considerable market swings to earn those returns.
Retail sales rose by 0.64% in June from May, to $720 billion, seasonally adjusted, after having fallen month-to-month in May and April, and after having spiked in March by 1.5%.
As of mid-June, a slight majority of firms see a relatively quick end to trade policy uncertainty, but a large cohort expect the fog of uncertainty to persist awhile.
Having passed the midpoint of the year, several of our key economic predictions for 2025 are on track, including weaker US economic conditions.
Markets made new highs Thursday, further embarrassing the recession forecasters still yelling âFire!â in a theater now selling standing-room tickets.
The U.S. banking system is healthy, providing a strong foundation for the overall economy amid current uncertainties. Read what investors need to know.
US June retail sales jumped 0.6% MoM, showing strong demand despite tariffs.
Trump's tariffs risk inflation and recession, straining markets and growth. Read about how I recommend investing while navigating this uncertainty.
Prepare for the 'year of tariffs' in 2025. Learn how escalating trade barriers and negotiations could impact markets and your investment strategies.
In a volatile year for stocks, as tariffs and other factors roil expectations and keep investors on edge, industrial stocks are the market darlings since the April rebound.
June inflation hit 2.7% as tariffs bite. See why excess liquidity, new Fed pressure, and policy risks could fuel more inflation in the coming months.
The Fed's independence is key for dollar stability; Firing Powell and tariff-driven policies could impact inflation, interest rates, and markets. Read what investors need to know.
Markets may be mispricing tariff risks. Find out why record customs revenue, low volatility, and past patterns make a retreat less likely this time.
Explore why Fed independence is crucial for market stability, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the risks of undermining Federal Reserve credibility. Read what investors need to know.
Current tariff collections equate to 0.1% monthly inflation, aligning with recent CPI data. See why Iâm skeptical that tariffs will lead to widespread inflation.
The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the US projects economic output in the recently finished Q2 2025 will be around $30.5 trillion.
Stocks continue to rally with the S&P 500 up about 26% from its April 8 trough, when equities initially declined on the White House announcement placing higher tariffs.
Inflation is moving higher and the impact of tariffs are only beginning to show up in government data, likely keeping interest rates on hold.
June CPI and PPI figures were released this week, and the buzz centers around whether Trump's tariffs have boosted inflation. Click to read.
US stock market rises amid caution over extreme greed & inflation.
S&P 500 stalls at 6300 resistance amid market worries over inflation and tariffs. Explore potential risks and what this means for investors.
The Fed's structure and upcoming appointments make a dovish policy shift likely. What will happen if Trump gets his 300bps rate cut? Read which stocks I recommend.
Explore June's rising CPI inflation, the Fed's likely rate stance, and market opportunities in non-cyclicals and high-margin sectors amidst inflation pressures.
Q2 saw a greater role for Fixed Income, Alternatives, International and Emerging Markets. There were more diversification opportunities and impact of currency decisions. Read more here...
The outlook for the S&P 500's dividends in the current and remaining quarters of 2025 improved in the month since we presented our previous snapshot of their future.
June CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales hit this week, offering key macro information for investors and policymakers
Stocks tiptoed toward fresh highs, then got cold feet. A glimmer of hope from Nvidiaâs China chip sales briefly lit the room, but cooler-than-hoped inflation doused the mood.
The June CPI report came in as expected, bringing the annual headline increase to 2.7%, a tick-up from last monthâs 2.4% reading.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3 percent last month and 2.7 percent over the past year.
According to the latest price inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the consumer price index rose 2.7 percent year over year, and 0.3 percent month over month.
Broad Market Indicators Broad-market exchange-traded funds IWM and IVV declined. Actively traded
Discover the impact of looming tariff risks on global trade and the psychology driving the Trump TACO Trade and how partners may react. Read what investors need to know.
Discover 4 effective strategies to manage risk in QQQ as it climbs 30% in 3 months. Read more on the elevated risk in QQQ and by association, the broad stock market.
Explore how a dovish Fed, rising inflation, and strengthening dollar impact markets. Learn why long-end yields climb despite potential rate cuts.
Inflation rises to 2.7% amid tariff pressures, reversing disinflation trends.
The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.4% and the actively trad
Explore why current equity valuations may be unsustainable amidst AI-driven optimism, global economic concerns, and new tariffs. Click for more.
June CPI data shows headline and core inflation in line with expectations. Check out my thoughts on financial markets' reaction to CPI data.
It appears that itâs a particularly good time to take a contrary view of the intermediate period of the US stock market. Read more here...
Core inflation eases, but rising headline CPI and energy costs keep inflation concerns alive. Click for our full review of the latest data and its implications.
Learn how major tariff hikes on imports from Mexico & the EU risk driving inflation and slowing growth.
June inflation slowed, the core rate below forecasts. Stocks and bonds saw modest rallies. Click here for a full breakdown of the June report.
Despite worries about tariff-related inflation, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade in a range. Read more here.
Discover how tracking institutional 'smart money' moves and COT data reveals key market signals on crude oil oversupply and diverse S&P 500 trading strategies.
The market capitalization of the S&P 500 rose almost 6.3% during the second quarter of 2025.
U.S. tariffs may drive more dispersion in market and security returns, creating yet more opportunity to earn alpha. We stay risk on and overweight U.S. equities. Read more here...
Seven of the S&P 500's 11 sectors are set to post cumulative second quarter earnings declines, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
Implied volatilities fell across asset classes last week despite renewed trade headlines as investors largely shrugged off the new tariff threats.
The situation today suggests that the dollar is trading on the weak side of where it would normally be given the current level of real yields.
Broad Market Indicators Broad-market exchange-traded funds IWM and IVV rose. Actively traded Inve
Markets shrug off U.S. tariffs, with focus on Treasury yields, the dollar, and economic data like CPI.
S&P 500 shows strength with 62% above 200-day average. Nvidia hits $4T, interest rate cuts expected, and 13.3% upside forecast to 7,035.
Based on June data, the global economy has experienced a broad-based cyclical upturn since mid-2024, with little sign of weakness heading into Q3. Read more here...
Fed Governor Waller discusses balance sheet challenges, QT into 2029, and risks to Fed independence. Read the implications for markets if Powell leaves the Fed.
The government fiscal year closes at the end of September, but this analysis will look at the calendar year budget.
The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.3% and the actively tr
Explore market impacts of U.S.-China tariffs, investment strategies amid potential declines, and the global trade shifts shaping the global economy.
Discover how investor activity indicators like ProShare fund flow data offer powerful insights into market sentiment.
Explore the impact of harsh tariffs set for Aug 1 on global markets, economies, and trade relations.
Taking a look at several of last weekâs notable events that the media and analysts described as increasing uncertainty, and differentiate uncertainty from confusion. Read more here...
Earnings season & economic resilience may drive the market despite risks. Explore key insights on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and tech stocks.
S&P 500 gains mask real value declines; USD weakens amid aggressive tariffs and debt concerns. Click here for more information on Market Outlook.
The clarity and support provided by the One Big Beautiful Bill represent a decisive step forward for the business community.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF currently offers a 30-day SEC yield of 4.85%, and it has an effective duration of 15.66 years. Check out my analysis of TLT.
The S&P 500 ended the trading week at 6,259.75, down 0.31% from the previous week's close.
Global trade tensions, driven by new tariffs, are creating volatility and unpredictability for investors. Explore the factors impacting market performance.
Stocks are priced for earnings to exceed already ambitious forecasts. Read why I strongly advise against aggressive buying at current highs.
June 2025 fiscal flows signal short-term caution and likely SPX declines in July, but liquidity unlocks and Fed rate cuts hint at a strong year-end market.
Long-term Treasury yields may surge as inflation risks rise and technicals strengthen, setting up a bear steepening. See why a breakout could be near.
ETFs that have tracked the S&P 500 have always been popular. The largest and most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are those that track the performance of the S&P 500. In fact, the three largest ETFs as measured by assets under management are all ones that mimic the performance of this benchmark index. As of July 9, the S&P 500's top three holdings of Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple made up over 20% of its holdings, while its top 10 holdings represented 38% of the index.
The S&P 500 closed the week in positive territory, marking another strong performance near record highs. Read more here.
S&P 500 valuations hit bubble-like levels amid 'Extreme Greed' sentiment. Discover risks from US-China tariffs & potential market corrections.
The US economy stays resilient with improving indicators, strong stocks, and continued expansion. Click for more on key trends shaping growth and what lies ahead.
Rising tariffs could impact markets and learn top investment strategies and picks to maximize returns. Click here for more on Market Outlook.
June CPI data hints at rising inflation, with core CPI expected at 3%. See how tariffs, stagflation, and market trends impact the economy.
Simplify Hedged Equity ETF is a hedged equity ETF offering S&P 500 exposure, reduced downside risk, and strong risk-adjusted returns. See more on HEQT here.
In a couple of weeks we will get the first reading for third quarter GDP growth, and the current consensus among economists is for growth to be right around the same two percent.
The S&P 500 closed Thursday trading at an all-time high, with the ten-year Treasury yields gaining six bps this week, to a four-week high of 4.41%.
Markets may face turbulence as Trump pushes US re-industrialization, with bubble-like S&P500 valuations signaling a potential selloff ahead. See more here.
Tariffs can be inflationary if they reduce real economic output, but the size of the effect matters. Read more here.
Economic indicators signal mixed trends: strong short-term momentum with stock gains and consumer stability, despite headwinds. Click for the full update.
Discover how the AI revolution fuels stock market highs, drives Big Tech growth, and its profound economic impacts. Click for more on this critical topic.
Rising inflation expectations, fueled by commodities and CPI swaps, signal higher interest rates and risks to markets. Click for my complete market outlook.
Earnings hit record highs on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq amid a resilient U.S. economy. Explore Fed policy, economic growth, and the impact on markets.
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF offers lowest expense ratio, strong long-term returns, & excellent liquidity for retail investors. See why I initiated buy rating on SPLG.
Economic data remains strong with low unemployment claims and rising industrial production, supporting continued stock market strength. Read what investors need to know.
Trump is unlikely to further delay tariffs; significantly higher tariffs will be imposed on August 1st. Read why investors should brace for a major shock this fall.
Investors enjoyed broad gains across major asset classes in the first half of this year, but they endured considerable market swings to earn those returns.
Retail sales rose by 0.64% in June from May, to $720 billion, seasonally adjusted, after having fallen month-to-month in May and April, and after having spiked in March by 1.5%.
As of mid-June, a slight majority of firms see a relatively quick end to trade policy uncertainty, but a large cohort expect the fog of uncertainty to persist awhile.
Markets made new highs Thursday, further embarrassing the recession forecasters still yelling âFire!â in a theater now selling standing-room tickets.
The U.S. banking system is healthy, providing a strong foundation for the overall economy amid current uncertainties. Read what investors need to know.
US June retail sales jumped 0.6% MoM, showing strong demand despite tariffs.
Trump's tariffs risk inflation and recession, straining markets and growth. Read about how I recommend investing while navigating this uncertainty.
Prepare for the 'year of tariffs' in 2025. Learn how escalating trade barriers and negotiations could impact markets and your investment strategies.
In a volatile year for stocks, as tariffs and other factors roil expectations and keep investors on edge, industrial stocks are the market darlings since the April rebound.
June inflation hit 2.7% as tariffs bite. See why excess liquidity, new Fed pressure, and policy risks could fuel more inflation in the coming months.
The Fed's independence is key for dollar stability; Firing Powell and tariff-driven policies could impact inflation, interest rates, and markets. Read what investors need to know.
Markets may be mispricing tariff risks. Find out why record customs revenue, low volatility, and past patterns make a retreat less likely this time.
Explore why Fed independence is crucial for market stability, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the risks of undermining Federal Reserve credibility. Read what investors need to know.
Current tariff collections equate to 0.1% monthly inflation, aligning with recent CPI data. See why Iâm skeptical that tariffs will lead to widespread inflation.
VIG offers a near 10-year high-yield spread over VOO, better growth-adjusted P/E ratios, and lower valuation risk. Read why VIG is attractive while VOO faces valuation risks.
US stock market rises amid caution over extreme greed & inflation.
S&P 500 stalls at 6300 resistance amid market worries over inflation and tariffs. Explore potential risks and what this means for investors.
The Fed's structure and upcoming appointments make a dovish policy shift likely. What will happen if Trump gets his 300bps rate cut? Read which stocks I recommend.
Explore June's rising CPI inflation, the Fed's likely rate stance, and market opportunities in non-cyclicals and high-margin sectors amidst inflation pressures.
The outlook for the S&P 500's dividends in the current and remaining quarters of 2025 improved in the month since we presented our previous snapshot of their future.
I have classified a few of the most important investments in our portfolio into Defense, Core, and Offense. Check out the investments in each group.
Stocks tiptoed toward fresh highs, then got cold feet. A glimmer of hope from Nvidiaâs China chip sales briefly lit the room, but cooler-than-hoped inflation doused the mood.
Discover the impact of looming tariff risks on global trade and the psychology driving the Trump TACO Trade and how partners may react. Read what investors need to know.
Discover 4 effective strategies to manage risk in QQQ as it climbs 30% in 3 months. Read more on the elevated risk in QQQ and by association, the broad stock market.
Explore how a dovish Fed, rising inflation, and strengthening dollar impact markets. Learn why long-end yields climb despite potential rate cuts.
Inflation rises to 2.7% amid tariff pressures, reversing disinflation trends.
Explore why current equity valuations may be unsustainable amidst AI-driven optimism, global economic concerns, and new tariffs. Click for more.
June CPI data shows headline and core inflation in line with expectations. Check out my thoughts on financial markets' reaction to CPI data.
It appears that itâs a particularly good time to take a contrary view of the intermediate period of the US stock market. Read more here...
Core inflation eases, but rising headline CPI and energy costs keep inflation concerns alive. Click for our full review of the latest data and its implications.
Learn how major tariff hikes on imports from Mexico & the EU risk driving inflation and slowing growth.
June inflation slowed, the core rate below forecasts. Stocks and bonds saw modest rallies. Click here for a full breakdown of the June report.
Despite worries about tariff-related inflation, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade in a range. Read more here.
Discover how tracking institutional 'smart money' moves and COT data reveals key market signals on crude oil oversupply and diverse S&P 500 trading strategies.
The market capitalization of the S&P 500 rose almost 6.3% during the second quarter of 2025.
Seven of the S&P 500's 11 sectors are set to post cumulative second quarter earnings declines, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
Markets shrug off U.S. tariffs, with focus on Treasury yields, the dollar, and economic data like CPI.
S&P 500 shows strength with 62% above 200-day average. Nvidia hits $4T, interest rate cuts expected, and 13.3% upside forecast to 7,035.
Fed Governor Waller discusses balance sheet challenges, QT into 2029, and risks to Fed independence. Read the implications for markets if Powell leaves the Fed.
Explore market impacts of U.S.-China tariffs, investment strategies amid potential declines, and the global trade shifts shaping the global economy.
Discover how investor activity indicators like ProShare fund flow data offer powerful insights into market sentiment.
Earnings season is upon us again. And analysts think they know where the greatest growth in the S&P 500 will come from.
Explore the impact of harsh tariffs set for Aug 1 on global markets, economies, and trade relations.
Taking a look at several of last weekâs notable events that the media and analysts described as increasing uncertainty, and differentiate uncertainty from confusion. Read more here...
Earnings season & economic resilience may drive the market despite risks. Explore key insights on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and tech stocks.
S&P 500 gains mask real value declines; USD weakens amid aggressive tariffs and debt concerns. Click here for more information on Market Outlook.
Style Box ETF report for ONEV
Style Box ETF report for GSEW
The S&P 500 ended the trading week at 6,259.75, down 0.31% from the previous week's close.
For most investors, I recommend avoiding individual stock picking. Check out my recommendation for beginners and seasoned investors with SPY and VTI.
Global trade tensions, driven by new tariffs, are creating volatility and unpredictability for investors. Explore the factors impacting market performance.
Stocks are priced for earnings to exceed already ambitious forecasts. Read why I strongly advise against aggressive buying at current highs.
June 2025 fiscal flows signal short-term caution and likely SPX declines in July, but liquidity unlocks and Fed rate cuts hint at a strong year-end market.
Long-term Treasury yields may surge as inflation risks rise and technicals strengthen, setting up a bear steepening. See why a breakout could be near.
ETFs that have tracked the S&P 500 have always been popular. The largest and most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are those that track the performance of the S&P 500. In fact, the three largest ETFs as measured by assets under management are all ones that mimic the performance of this benchmark index. As of July 9, the S&P 500's top three holdings of Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple made up over 20% of its holdings, while its top 10 holdings represented 38% of the index.
Warren Buffett has specifically suggested the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF as the most sensible way for average investors to get exposure to U.S. stocks. Outperforming the S&P 500 is difficult, so much so that nearly 90% of large-cap fund managers achieved worse returns over the last 15 years. The S&P 500 advanced 1,860% over the last three decades, growing at a pace that would have turned $500 per month into $1 million.
The S&P 500 closed the week in positive territory, marking another strong performance near record highs. Read more here.
S&P 500 valuations hit bubble-like levels amid 'Extreme Greed' sentiment. Discover risks from US-China tariffs & potential market corrections.
Even if it's not easy to see or feel, a sea-change is brewing for the stock market.
The US economy stays resilient with improving indicators, strong stocks, and continued expansion. Click for more on key trends shaping growth and what lies ahead.
Rising tariffs could impact markets and learn top investment strategies and picks to maximize returns. Click here for more on Market Outlook.
June CPI data hints at rising inflation, with core CPI expected at 3%. See how tariffs, stagflation, and market trends impact the economy.
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF offers lowest expense ratio, strong long-term returns, & excellent liquidity for retail investors. See why I initiated buy rating on SPLG.
Investors enjoyed broad gains across major asset classes in the first half of this year, but they endured considerable market swings to earn those returns.
The outlook for the S&P 500's dividends in the current and remaining quarters of 2025 improved in the month since we presented our previous snapshot of their future.
ETFs pulled in $24.1B last week, led by VOO, SPLG, IBIT, IEMG and XLF, as investors poured into equities, Bitcoin and emerging markets.
The market capitalization of the S&P 500 rose almost 6.3% during the second quarter of 2025.
Seven of the S&P 500's 11 sectors are set to post cumulative second quarter earnings declines, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
The S&P 500 ended the trading week at 6,259.75, down 0.31% from the previous week's close.
The S&P 500 closed the week in positive territory, marking another strong performance near record highs. Read more here.
Economic indicators signal mixed trends: strong short-term momentum with stock gains and consumer stability, despite headwinds. Click for the full update.
Despite all the bigly talk about tariffs, theyâve turned out to be teeny tiny tariffs so far. Read more here.
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast has Q3 growth up around 2.4%, a notable acceleration from the first half.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets again on July 29-30 & the consensus expectation is that Committee will once again hold target Fed funds rate at current range of 4-4.25%.
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was up 1.8% (1.1 points) to 61.8 this month.
Markets had a strong run in the past few months, but are there still pockets of value? David Sekera discusses why he is looking closely at the energy, health care and small-cap sectors.
Discover how the AI revolution fuels stock market highs, drives Big Tech growth, and its profound economic impacts. Click for more on this critical topic.
Rising inflation expectations, fueled by commodities and CPI swaps, signal higher interest rates and risks to markets. Click for my complete market outlook.
The governmentâs Q2 GDP report scheduled for later this month is still on track to post a moderate recovery in output.
Investors enjoyed broad gains across major asset classes in the first half of this year, but they endured considerable market swings to earn those returns.
As of mid-June, a slight majority of firms see a relatively quick end to trade policy uncertainty, but a large cohort expect the fog of uncertainty to persist awhile.
Having passed the midpoint of the year, several of our key economic predictions for 2025 are on track, including weaker US economic conditions.
Markets made new highs Thursday, further embarrassing the recession forecasters still yelling âFire!â in a theater now selling standing-room tickets.
Trump's tariffs risk inflation and recession, straining markets and growth. Read about how I recommend investing while navigating this uncertainty.
Discover SPUS, a Shariah-compliant ETF with 200+ S&P 500 stocks.
The Fed's independence is key for dollar stability; Firing Powell and tariff-driven policies could impact inflation, interest rates, and markets. Read what investors need to know.
The climbing limo method of forecasting future GDP in the US projects economic output in the recently finished Q2 2025 will be around $30.5 trillion.
Stocks continue to rally with the S&P 500 up about 26% from its April 8 trough, when equities initially declined on the White House announcement placing higher tariffs.
Inflation is moving higher and the impact of tariffs are only beginning to show up in government data, likely keeping interest rates on hold.
June CPI and PPI figures were released this week, and the buzz centers around whether Trump's tariffs have boosted inflation. Click to read.
Q2 saw a greater role for Fixed Income, Alternatives, International and Emerging Markets. There were more diversification opportunities and impact of currency decisions. Read more here...
The outlook for the S&P 500's dividends in the current and remaining quarters of 2025 improved in the month since we presented our previous snapshot of their future.
June CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales hit this week, offering key macro information for investors and policymakers
Stocks tiptoed toward fresh highs, then got cold feet. A glimmer of hope from Nvidiaâs China chip sales briefly lit the room, but cooler-than-hoped inflation doused the mood.
The June CPI report came in as expected, bringing the annual headline increase to 2.7%, a tick-up from last monthâs 2.4% reading.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3 percent last month and 2.7 percent over the past year.
According to the latest price inflation data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the consumer price index rose 2.7 percent year over year, and 0.3 percent month over month.
Explore how a dovish Fed, rising inflation, and strengthening dollar impact markets. Learn why long-end yields climb despite potential rate cuts.
Explore why current equity valuations may be unsustainable amidst AI-driven optimism, global economic concerns, and new tariffs. Click for more.
It appears that itâs a particularly good time to take a contrary view of the intermediate period of the US stock market. Read more here...
Core inflation eases, but rising headline CPI and energy costs keep inflation concerns alive. Click for our full review of the latest data and its implications.
The market capitalization of the S&P 500 rose almost 6.3% during the second quarter of 2025.
U.S. tariffs may drive more dispersion in market and security returns, creating yet more opportunity to earn alpha. We stay risk on and overweight U.S. equities. Read more here...
Seven of the S&P 500's 11 sectors are set to post cumulative second quarter earnings declines, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
Implied volatilities fell across asset classes last week despite renewed trade headlines as investors largely shrugged off the new tariff threats.
The situation today suggests that the dollar is trading on the weak side of where it would normally be given the current level of real yields.
The government fiscal year closes at the end of September, but this analysis will look at the calendar year budget.
Taking a look at several of last weekâs notable events that the media and analysts described as increasing uncertainty, and differentiate uncertainty from confusion. Read more here...
S&P 500 gains mask real value declines; USD weakens amid aggressive tariffs and debt concerns. Click here for more information on Market Outlook.
The clarity and support provided by the One Big Beautiful Bill represent a decisive step forward for the business community.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF currently offers a 30-day SEC yield of 4.85%, and it has an effective duration of 15.66 years. Check out my analysis of TLT.
The S&P 500 ended the trading week at 6,259.75, down 0.31% from the previous week's close.
Global trade tensions, driven by new tariffs, are creating volatility and unpredictability for investors. Explore the factors impacting market performance.
June 2025 fiscal flows signal short-term caution and likely SPX declines in July, but liquidity unlocks and Fed rate cuts hint at a strong year-end market.
Long-term Treasury yields may surge as inflation risks rise and technicals strengthen, setting up a bear steepening. See why a breakout could be near.
The S&P 500 closed the week in positive territory, marking another strong performance near record highs. Read more here.
The US economy stays resilient with improving indicators, strong stocks, and continued expansion. Click for more on key trends shaping growth and what lies ahead.
June CPI data hints at rising inflation, with core CPI expected at 3%. See how tariffs, stagflation, and market trends impact the economy.
In a couple of weeks we will get the first reading for third quarter GDP growth, and the current consensus among economists is for growth to be right around the same two percent.
The S&P 500 closed Thursday trading at an all-time high, with the ten-year Treasury yields gaining six bps this week, to a four-week high of 4.41%.
Markets may face turbulence as Trump pushes US re-industrialization, with bubble-like S&P500 valuations signaling a potential selloff ahead. See more here.
Tariffs can be inflationary if they reduce real economic output, but the size of the effect matters. Read more here.
